NIFTY 50 Crashes 336 Points — Will Bulls Bounce Back Monday?

NIFTY

Volatility Returns. Support Tested. Monday Decides the Mood.

Closing Performance Snapshot

The NIFTY 50 index closed sharply lower on Friday, February 13, 2026, dragged down by heavy selling in IT and metal stocks.

  • Closing Level: 25,471.10
  • Loss: 336.10 points (-1.30%)
  • Day’s Low: 25,444.30
  • Opening: 25,571.15

This marked the second consecutive session of decline, with the index slipping below the crucial 25,500 level. Meanwhile, the Sensex tanked over 1,000 points, reflecting broad market weakness.

Volatility spiked significantly as India VIX surged 13.36% to 13.29, indicating rising fear among traders.

However, GIFT NIFTY futures suggest a mildly positive start on Monday, February 16, trading near 25,520 (+0.26%).

NIFTY

Key Sector Moves

  • NIFTY IT: Fell 1.44% to 32,681.50 amid AI concerns and weak global tech cues.
  • Metals: Plunged 3.31% to 11,872.80 due to soft global commodity prices.
  • FMCG: Dropped 1.90%.
  • Bank Nifty: Declined 0.91% to 60,186.65, outperforming broader markets supported by private banks.

Broader markets underperformed further:

  • NIFTY Midcap 100: Down 1.71%
  • Smallcaps also witnessed sharp selling pressure.

Top Gainers & Losers

Major Drags:

  • HUL – Down 4%
  • Eternal – Down 4%
  • TechM – Down 6%
  • HCL Tech – Down 5%

Relatively Better Performer:

  • Bajaj Finance contributed positively during the session but ended lower at ₹1,024.75.

The weakness remained broad-based with limited defensive support.

Technical Outlook & Key Levels

From a technical perspective, the market now stands at a crucial junction.

  • Immediate Resistance: 25,630 (prior swing high)
  • Immediate Support: 25,444
  • Major Psychological Support: 25,000

A decisive break below Friday’s low could push the index toward the 200-DMA zone.

Experts suggest:

  • Avoid aggressive shorting in IT at current levels.
  • Look for dip-buying opportunities in banks, auto, and chemical stocks.

Meanwhile, the rupee weakened to 90.64/USD, adding pressure on sentiment.

Global Market Cues

Global signals remained mixed:

  • Nikkei: -1.21%
  • Hang Seng: -1.72%
  • US Futures: Flat
  • Dow: +0.01%
  • Nasdaq: -0.24%

Ongoing profit-booking and foreign institutional flows will play a decisive role in the upcoming sessions.

What to Watch on Monday

  • Opening trend based on GIFT NIFTY
  • Movement in IT heavyweights
  • FII & DII activity
  • Volatility index direction
  • Breakdown or recovery above 25,500

The market has entered a high-volatility zone. Monday’s opening reaction could determine whether this is a short-term correction or the beginning of a deeper pullback.

 

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and not investment advice. Investors should consult financial advisors before making trading decisions.

 

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India-US Trade Deal Breakthrough: Tariffs Slashed, Trade Boosted

India-US Trade

“Lower Tariffs, Stronger Ties, Bigger Trade Future”


Table of Contents

Deal Announcement

The India-US trade relationship hit a major milestone as US President Donald Trump announced a new trade agreement on February 1–2, 2026.
The pact reduces reciprocal tariffs on Indian exports from 25% to 18%, marking a significant relief for Indian businesses.

President Trump revealed the breakthrough on Truth Social, crediting his personal rapport with Prime Minister Narendra Modi for accelerating negotiations.
Both leaders described the agreement as a key step toward achieving $500 billion in bilateral trade by 2030.

Tariff Reductions Explained

Before the agreement, Indian goods faced steep 50% US tariffs imposed in August 2025—25% reciprocal duties plus 25% punitive tariffs linked to India’s Russian oil imports.

Under the new deal:

  • Tariffs on Indian exports drop sharply to 18%
  • Major relief for sectors like textiles, chemicals, seafood, and engineering goods
  • India commits to gradually reducing Russian oil purchases
  • Increased imports of US energy, technology, agriculture, and coal

Negotiation Background

Negotiations gained momentum after President Trump’s re-election in 2025. Multiple rounds of talks in Washington and New Delhi laid the foundation for a comprehensive Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA).

Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal stated in January 2026 that no major obstacles remained. The Economic Survey 2026 also projected an imminent closure, backed by high-level diplomatic visits from both sides.

Economic & Strategic Impact

Experts believe the agreement will:

  • Strengthen global supply chains
  • Lower costs for exporters, businesses, and consumers
  • Boost investments in energy, technology, and manufacturing
  • Deepen strategic cooperation amid global economic uncertainty

India emerges as an early beneficiary of Trump’s renewed trade strategy, avoiding broader tariffs imposed on other partners.

What This Means Going Forward

Officials from both nations emphasize that the deal is mutually beneficial, without compromising sensitive areas like farm subsidies.
With tariffs reduced and market access widened, the agreement sets the stage for a stronger, more balanced India-US economic partnership in the coming decade.

This trade deal signals a new phase of cooperation—where diplomacy meets economic opportunity.

 

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